PAGE 8
THE NIW CANADIAN
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TOKYO.—Ni豕htmAriah fea" hftunt'- cii8ast«r-pron« '"pan: To': kyo in particular fears that a a u])heavftr站frightful"the Great Kanto earthquake oflま :ium>ble8■■•■.<:lo9^ e^oi^h,:.:糾1>*柳' •face, to 'erupt.:within' ft :.year oに
■ BO.
A subcommittee und" the .'me. tr6polat an''fin^-:bo^r*d^ headed by ■To"'9. Uniwrsity enKiritu.a, pro, f CSS or Shozo Uchi<ia and :::cひm—:
•g.oVermontタfficifils:aiMl: jnibUc?: Utnitymen,po3t)uUite ;thi$dre^ 'situ'ati6;v::. a:: ■ win"'rsu?pertiniやt' hoy.8ewives at their ..ev.ening'hdba^;' •.chi.: .cooking .with .6harcoal;' a ".orth、viB3t: :wind :れsting: 'al6ng d^ngenmsly, su<iden\^「 a te喊U)r occurs',:'ma^i'tlide 6 o:n''7'-ぉile 一a force貼big站th«卿 earthquake. Wまhhappens? "Hiat be— th|e subject of study fo? three, jfears.. The at^srwer is ho?"-
•riiying. .,..ノ- ノ .•.,,
Tpkyo,s most pop幽ied Koぉ 、、ard, a low-lyiing ate a i>rey to a加u a I tji^ixho叫:'"nd tidal"Ve disast^er, wioukT vanぉh iひ:i sea' of flamぉ.Fi"s in 22 Qth议Ward^ would ra" :Kve、 hours,柳suミli '' ;f,res,120 of t"ii)やpi reading uii-t卩they l)Urぁt out 2,2percenもof もhis, ihe NvorUTa v city. So加e 21,000 hoiisesWpuUi )t)e destroyed, • . • •-• V .
Co11 a 一 ハvoodeタbridges 、、oiUd.paralyze traffi'c/ estimat: ed ai (35,0 "hic;lぉ.R6ゅ磁 20-26'. feet :、videカjrdW?trily wouUI bふrippled up an3b^omもlittered quagrmres ovor 、vhichぉrefight-ing etjuipment.• would move, .if at all,with trouble.
.The !co,、'itteき'.grim;y. called ぇts鄉(Jii"i^^ir^せor, if anything, on .the:sicte' 。f .0j)timisnリ,
..Aレnoon onぉ邻Wni.ber r, .38 years .ago, ihe.さhi卿i (—at: qualie): turn Wed Yokoha印a imd pitclie^T勿0 into 40 per cem ashes. .'Some 60,000: died, 97 per
,cei;fbWmti:;aHve in fires that
:1asl4d ;,.three. days and nights. Over i 3,000 housもs collftpsied but
'fai"- 、voirぉヽv站マthにhiol鄉vist- oJT 134ぉrもs,-ba"led by only-32 fire enまe8, that enguぱed 220,0(^0 houseみ.:
Thoseliibachi cooking-poお o\|&r ..、vj>icli the .jious柳iyes coplc
•(WQuld caiiぉmー gr.ief tiian' any.
•.'subgpilseismic.tacWng^,
To^ay, thouゆ'-Tol^yo could
.:brau;e :ncv ^)etぉr for、.maj6r heavalsゆan in.1.ミ23, there are' these advantages,: of' slender cbm-'' fort..ヽ• .:• :• ノ…ぃ
Tokyo has 465 fireenゅes, 73 i adder 、、'agon多,409 manually
—operat"-firetrucks, over .'-30,000—
:ニ firemen, oveiv1,555 :ambulances.
bftttcries of doctors, nuiTBeB, sAni. tation technicians, cUjr engiiM^rs.' "■h«8.a mot)ile self-^e^ force, t,rained and.tested in emergency,• It has 2»300 ferro^concre^ tuildin多s, 'but mi my of' the^' mi豕ht death-traps' 'if fir^ .sh;^t up elev[ftt6ir 8htばねand SUirwelli. Roopas could bcv cl»»m-i^rs of firey death if the tir. wa^j si;tcked ijree, by..heat, of oxygen. Th、e ultra-modern ,柳'phasis has. been onおlaws that could crack and flylethally. There is an im-(Jer-'empーis, oまten,' on those in-t<,rior and partitions "tt^i.
could ~S€rve as 'fi.i;e. 'breaks. a net :cculd + fortify', struc"ria1interiors.
And th'ere .areたin. ..Tokyo, :de3,. f'ite 8 postwar fゃcトlifting, four' times:, .moreリ'maitchbox',も6i^se^: •t.hah .in1923,.ゅough. many i^re solidly, sp^ialiy buHt, The qom, mit、iteei, .n.otijigthis,.iE)i"esumes in, it antscould c.Q?ltiol.60 pejr cent, .6f:祐lも?cp55ー' • fifes, :f(re" mb•!!+•• mastering' ^!iちlhe'r "0.
But 'teieaiii.n.g' Kotケward 、vo>ild be1eyeUeil.::.aー ノ.七lie: commHtee .a.dmits ,は':(janiioも..estimate^life-Jo 幼 and. jM^將.tyi^amiage.;'::.:ih_ cro、vded dowiiio" shopping and: Dusmess,. .dinirtg iaml.'.theれなe-gw'ー area§叫e iShinjゅy, the
Ch"o、Vds woiiW hamjfer 'fifefight:' .ing.-''ク--ソv'v:: .-•Direct damage •.むoii、 'gas' ex-plosions - • and•leaking ekctric汰y w.i)ul4、n.ot. .be、 great', but;, water, '•ma— would- buぉぃ-artd'sui)pliぉ: ebb.'/^ire〖ruゃks' progi*e"' -would b'、' bl6<dcedぉy .toppled Jb]iijl.dinぉ, liUered streets, —nick,' traffic.'〗atns【:',i"to、v, tfiorougli-
• fa res抑d 'bridgeless .fivei''crossings:. Waぉr— :pi":6Ssure. 、、'ouW 'drop, to. about 35' per'cent,.ai;id plimps and ..hoses' 、vpuld. become .core', sp9?Miingly .viseless.
-(^ゅToky。 had few'traffic pro-blenis and plenty of canals ani mo a is. from. ■ .which t<y ::紐ぼwat议.. 'lも':ぉaがfe、y factories,'ズeSt 'labs, &iui research institutes • using, deii, iiKemicals and ,ぁ.o.th in-
• flait)nliable .and rad-active .,mi-' .terial3.".'Gas.…and —oil--st()vぉ-.are' everywhei*6 stillbi^t the rivers,' .moaぉ,-,ponds aridlakes' are not; They've been细ed in. ノ ?:
Yetれre, as'always,• would pro-■V'ide tKe: greiitest <ianger, 'f after quakes. '.w.Wclv arふmild, mdstly; ihougli they 0c6ur oii a" average of •: thre^e a :day;' some-•、vhere hiJapan, や
J a pa 11 hasbeen hit by tJie. Nan-kai gireaもqua" of1946; the Fu-kuiqiiま:iri1948, and the Nikko
ケhe superstitious.claim too-much: timらhasも1&J?j^ —y;'it歸t anothe! 勤jor blow. - ■
Scieniist Hirorai"u Mukohlra sees his "Mukohira Rainbow", a rectangubyr phenomenon he. claims .appears• ju^t. before: th。—' earth i"olls over. He幼id he pre-:dicted.''the1923 quake but was Ignored.
■ •The :.'.mete0ゆcaL.:.agency: speaks of boosted seismic ーivity and. points to. the offllnouslylong 、vami sumniery stretched into nii d-October.
Japanese who. c.all.tremors pro-verbiany "a .woi"se. disaster to .?iはn t"n flood ..:and.' tlum麵', worse than the rage of a niafiV o^Vm. 、vぱe," know... no accura*'e •forecast iきjK)s.sible. Ancient folk pegged subs.ojr turmoilon::'giant., catfish writhinにiひ.the sea,.邻レ .<Jers emb^de^: iれJa'paひ,s:.fiery 柳.th: (mdゃVゃn:-ii;iへ1^30タoikyケ .Universれy savant :dandlM •:th'eory .ot-fclie.^ paゅh, claiming, a.t:least•.a.11-fisR 、vei^e sensitive to 辟;bund elもctiぉ&urr^te:,、vlii(?h. 'ris.e::as 'e^rth shakings ん
れ6risdnse、muゅ'as pre3ei)MiV Gぉekさ'-、yho -sc"ut :ゅゅoUoivih.at Neptune's "dent broifま
•trouble^ - the.- iraひia.rts that:: a —i^uning" co、V: t^".injgノthe worW fri>m ho沐'.to.-li6ri1toぁlaine. 冲e EskiiWs that a big di)g 'きc.mゅed. Itself 'and.iひvit". dis, astもi',and the Tibetans .who lipid a Hopping g.old.en. toaォres,.
•sibie.: ■—、':'-'」:::.:、"■.:.:•:-''•■.:...::,
:し':-扭pi.ty,,oーj^a.it of .、vhiehお. "gーlogic抖ily saJfe," in a Country where mゅr M"'s • occur -i'n::a' 100-150 year cyde~1448,1605, 1707,1854,1923—、;'hat can be (ioTie to cl^eok.loss .. .(jf,life抑'd .d £ image.?.: 'ラ,
Jt"'"e engmes 、viU be —.bo的Ud' to 905; fii'きmen to 35,000. Reservoirs 、、*illincreasingly + , 4.Gt :tha landscape. Ways must be found tr permit -..cfi^ghiers to go anywhere, athigsh spゃeds. Wo(^, •eu bridges崎sfぎo. Ho'usefioWさ must ■live increasingly iir ferroニ concrete .buildings, surrounded byズilreb敏Hs. People must be ぉu'cat.ed,::. on .a .ma^-leveレ,.foT
.:tiii]^—.鍵7;^培—if投.さぉ-;^に:]t5iるi?ir"にir6:
—ili5?ぉ&:伝;-:.-on), iong,ngもsolutions.: B.u{ eVen these, the :c6in-: n:itte^' holds,, must gelimde'r way at: once. .
Ah3hite?te decry U-shape<i buiWinぉs.. They press foir simpler, stii«nger, • square, :triゅgular aila circular shapes. Traffic : Experts ask for:'i^ial-highways j clover-leaf inter^tkmも飞h^. v、,Jiys andひverhead:.bypasses: But thぉcomplex geoiiietry of-traffi(i. c.oiitr0に.costs har4 cash..-5o.,do hiodernまiiでanふeajrthquhke.proof luildings that Japan must丄ave, rゃpladng traditionalold柳oden
onea,. if niinimum .safety, ia to be. assured.
The I»Wb of economict inま、t is still, biuikaUy, a hitve-not nation, keep "pan in ,如stifゅ16 state of earthquake jiiters,■
At this writing, ominously, tha radio announces,""light eiurth-■quake sh(xrfc downtown Tokyo at 7:03 a«m. today. T^ぉe were no imm^Hate teporte of injuries or damage to property."
But xi6xt time,.. •
it is a good policy .to -have the RIGHT POLICY
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